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These 2 Computer and Technology Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar

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Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.

The earnings figure itself is key, of course, but a beat or miss on the bottom line can sometimes be just as, if not more, important. Therefore, investors should consider paying close attention to these earnings surprises, as a big beat can help a stock climb and vice versa.

The ability to identify stocks that are likely to top quarterly earnings expectations can be profitable, but it's no simple task. Here at Zacks, our Earnings ESP filter helps make things easier.

The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained

The Zacks Earnings ESP is more formally known as the Expected Surprise Prediction, and it aims to grab the inside track on the latest analyst estimate revisions ahead of a company's report. The idea is relatively intuitive as a newer projection might be based on more complete information.

The core of the ESP model is comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, where the resulting percentage difference between the two equals the Expected Surprise Prediction. The Zacks Rank is also factored into the ESP metric to better help find companies that appear poised to top their next bottom-line consensus estimate, which will hopefully help lift the stock price.

Bringing together a positive earnings ESP alongside a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better has helped stocks report a positive earnings surprise 70% of the time. Furthermore, by using these parameters, investors have seen 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Most stocks, about 60%, fall into the #3 (Hold) category, and they are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. Stocks with a #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) rating, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market, with Strong Buy stocks outperforming more than any other rank.

Should You Consider ASML?

The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. ASML (ASML - Free Report) earns a #3 (Hold) 14 days from its next quarterly earnings release on October 14, 2026, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $13.23 a share.

ASML's Earnings ESP sits at +5.53%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $13.23 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $12.54. ASML is also part of a large group of stocks that boast a positive ESP. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.

ASML is one of just a large database of Computer and Technology stocks with positive ESPs. Another solid-looking stock is Paycom Software (PAYC - Free Report) .

Paycom Software is a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stock, and is getting ready to report earnings on November 4, 2026. PAYC's Most Accurate Estimate sits at $2.82 a share 35 days from its next earnings release.

Paycom Software's Earnings ESP figure currently stands at +4.01% after taking the percentage difference between its Most Accurate Estimate and its Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.71.

ASML and PAYC's positive ESP metrics may signal that a positive earnings surprise for both stocks is on the horizon.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

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